Josh Allen continued his record-setting performance in the Bills鈥 victory over the Detroit Lions on Sunday, throwing for two touchdowns and rushing for two touchdowns for the sixth time in his career. As a team, the Bills out-executed and outlasted the Lions in an upset that snapped the Detroit franchise winning streak at 11 games.
Allen's聽execution Sunday was another astounding example of a quarterback who has developed the totality of his football talents. There was a time when Allen was known as a player who turned over the football more than anyone else in the NFL. In order to change, he had to embrace different philosophies and make decisions on every play that were different from when he entered the NFL. That takes will power, deep self-reflection and an openness that few great quarterbacks possess.
Allen鈥檚 operational skills, his poise, his accuracy and his inexplicable ability to run make him as dangerous a player to defend as there is in the NFL. When you add consistency, intelligence, confidence and ball protection to the equation, there isn鈥檛 a better player in the game.
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鈥淲e鈥檙e watching an incredible player play incredibly consistent,鈥 coach Sean McDermott said in a postgame interview.
Allen completed 23 of 34 attempts for a season-high 362 yards with two touchdowns, and he compiled 68 yards rushing on 11 attempts with two rushing touchdowns. His performance and value in this game was almost incalculable as he managed the offense, rushed the ball himself, extended plays and distributed the football to nine different receivers with a steady persistence that exceeded typical quarterback expectations.
The flip side of this Bills鈥 narrative is that while the offense has scored 30 or more points in each of the last eight games, the defense gave up 44 points to the Rams and 42 points against the Lions. Allen鈥檚 potency is being matched by the Bills鈥 inability to stop opponents.
Scoring 90 points in two games as a necessity becomes worrisome when your opponents score 86.
The major difference in winning or losing comes down to one factor: rushing the football. The Bills rushed for 197 yards on 34 attempts in Detroit. These 34 attempts were exactly half of the 68 offensive plays the Bills ran, and the team averaged 5.8 yards per carry.
If offensive coordinator Joe Brady can find ways for the Bills to continue to rush the football effectively with this remarkable balance, Allen鈥檚 special talents become more substantial. But when the Bills cannot rush, as we saw last week against the Rams, Allen must carry too much of the load.
FIRST QUARTER
Play selection: 16 plays (six passes, 10 runs)
Allen: 5 for 6 passing, 100 yards; four carries for 15 yards, two rushing TDs
Performance grade: 100%
Score: Bills, 14-0.
The Bills kicked off to the Lions to start the game and put together back-to-back defensive stops, which allowed Allen and the offense to jump into a 14-point lead.
Brady opened with a running play to James Cook behind pulling right tackle Spencer Brown. This tackle-pull concept was markedly different from the zone and duo concepts that did not work against the Rams. Brady鈥檚 strategy to bring diversity to the running game was apparent from the start 鈥 and so, too, was his passing game creativity, as seen on the second play of the game to Ty Johnson.
1. Second-and-5: Josh Allen to Ty Johnson on a unique RB wheel route
The Lions like to play man-to-man coverage, and they are not afraid to show it before the snap. Brady took advantage of this creative running back wheel route with Ty Johnson. Here, the Bills were in 12 personnel (1 RB, 2 TE) and looped Khalil Shakir from his most outside position to Allen鈥檚 left behind him and through to the other side.
This forced the Lions to bump their coverage down to the next player. The magic on this play was the use of Johnson, to Allen鈥檚 right, releasing left on a wheel route. This was highly unusual, and it took advantage of Johnson鈥檚 speed against Lions linebacker Kwon Alexander. Brady鈥檚 use of motion, combined with the forethought to get Johnson matched up on Alexander down the field, was extraordinary, resulting in a 33-yard gain with Allen鈥檚 perfect throw.
Three plays later, Allen and Johnson connected again with a remarkable scramble and throw.
This diagram shows Brady鈥檚 use of a unique 鈥渜uads鈥 formation. First, the Bills were in 12 personnel, again using Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox as wide receivers. The formation without Johnson was a standard bunch set 鈥 but with Johnson split out as a wide receiver, it became a 鈥渜uad鈥 formation with four receivers to one side.
This overload can create problems for defensive backs trying to match their coverage rules to their assignments. The Lions covered this as well as they could have, but they still couldn鈥檛 stop Allen, who scrambled and threw the football back to Johnson who was working into open space. Only one person is capable of making a throw like this: Allen. This 24-yard completion set the Bills鈥 offense up for their first score, as Allen plunged into the end zone on a 1-yard sneak to take the early lead, 7-0.
This opening Bills drive said a lot about Brady鈥檚 game plan and the strength of the Bills鈥 personnel. No other team in the NFL would feature its third running back as the Bills did on this drive, especially with a No. 1 like Cook, who is an excellent receiver in his own right.
The belief that Brady and Allen have in everyone on the offensive side is extraordinary, as the value that each player brings is specific and challenging to defend. This is what makes this team the best of the Allen era.
The Bills鈥 defense forced a second Lions punt, and Allen went back to work.
Allen was highly efficient on their second scoring drive, completing 3 of 3 attempts. He scrambled and improvised a completion to Cook, then completed passes underneath coverage. Next, he used his legs with a scramble and a designed quarterback counter. The Bills鈥 attack was highly diversified with the power, misdirection, and the use of different weapons.
This misdirection play highlighted the depth of Brady鈥檚 sophisticated attack.
2. Second-and-6: Misdirection run, James Cook, 13-yard gain
This time, Brady used 11 personnel (1 RB, 1 TE) with two motions. Cook was originally lined up as a receiver to Allen鈥檚 left and motioned back inside to align in the backfield to Allen鈥檚 right. Then Shakir looped behind Allen and into a space where it appeared that he was going to receive a screen pass to Allen鈥檚 right.
All of this was window dressing for Cook鈥檚 running play, which initially looked like it was going to the left, but then bent back to the right behind pulling center Connor McGovern. The combination of motions and misdirection left the Lions struggling to identify what was happening as Cook exploded through the hole made by McGovern鈥檚 log-block. This was outstanding execution by the players and an equally fantastic creation by Brady.
Two plays later, Allen scored his second rushing touchdown of the game with this dynamic 鈥渞un-run-pass鈥 option play.
3. Josh Allen's TD Run bamboozled the Lions defense
On second-and-goal from the 4-yard line, Brady called this wild run-run-pass option play in which Allen had the choice to give the ball to Johnson to the left, throw it into the flat to his right to Reggie Gilliam, or run it himself following pulling left tackle Dion Dawkins.
The Lions were bamboozled. Not only did Allen walk into the end zone without a defender pursuing him, Dawkins had no one to block. The outside sweep action to the left, combined with Gilliam in the flat, had the defense split in half, and it left Allen by himself for the easiest touchdown of his career. The magic from a play-call perspective was the piece of this play that released Gilliam, a known blocker, into a passing route. Most offensive coordinators would have used Gilliam to block the edge, but by releasing him, he attracted all of the attention. This was a brilliant design.
The Bills took an impressive 14-0 lead in the first quarter in what was the most dynamically diversified offensive football of the season. Allen himself completed 5 of 6 passes for 100 yards and added four rushes for 15 yards and two touchdowns. The Bills could not have gotten off to a better start.
SECOND QUARTER
Play selection: 17 plays (12 passes, five runs)
Allen: 9 for 12 passing, 154 yards; no carries for no yards.
Performance grade: 94%
Score: Bills, 21-14.
The Lions鈥 offense heated up and scored on their next possession to reduce Buffalo's lead to 14-7.
Allen led a nine-play touchdown drive to answer and give the Bills a 14-point lead again.
There was a crucial fourth-and-2 play that kept this drive alive.
4. Fourth-and-2: The Bills' gamble to Ty Johnson pays off
Here, Lions linebacker Ezekiel Turner had adjusted into man-to-man pass coverage on Johnson, because聽Johnson motioned from the backfield to become the most inside receiver to Allen鈥檚 right.
Look at how all three of the Lions鈥 pass coverage players were in man coverage and all on the same plane. When teams do this, they risk getting picked or rubbed off of the player they are covering. It is more common to see man defenders at differing depths so as to maintain coverage. This was another perfectly called play by Brady, not only anticipating man-to-man, but getting the speedy Johnson again into a matchup against a slower linebacker. Allen made a perfect throw and excellent read, anticipating this all the way. Had the Lions reverted to zone, Brady had a snag principle set up on the two-receiver side to his left, with Khalil Shakir on an out-breaking route and Mack Hollins curling back to the inside.
The aspect that Brady and Allen bring together, as a duo, is a fearlessness that enables them to attack the defense regardless of down and distance. Here, the Bills throw the ball down the field on fourth-and-2, a risky proposition. Defenses are struggling to anticipate what may be coming at them next because of the Bills' daring and aggressive style.
Cook rushed for a touchdown four plays later, and the Bills took a 14-point lead, again 21-7.
The Lions answered to make the score 21-14 Bills. Allen had another opportunity with three minutes remaining in the half, but the drive stalled on a third-and-goal false start.
Lions defensive lineman Levi Onwuzurike appeared to be the culprit on the opposite side of the line from Dawkins, but the officials did not penalize Onwuzurike. With the technology that is available, the NFL should use replay to get calls like this correct.
A false start is considered a 鈥減re-snap鈥 penalty, according to the NFL, and thus based on the real-time聽judgment of the referee. The NFL logic is that reviewing such a play would be difficult and time-consuming. This seems to be a poor explanation for not reviewing a game-changing play.
This penalty led to a 24-yard field-goal attempt that Tyler Bass missed. Had Bass made the field goal, the Bills would have increased their lead 24-14. Had the penalty been called on Onwuzurike, the Bills may have scored a touchdown on the drive. This failed drive, however, marked the first of the game in which the Buffalo offense did not score a touchdown.
The Bills鈥 defense stiffened and forced a 52-yard field-goal attempt before halftime that was also missed. This gave Allen the ball back with 46 seconds remaining. The Bills could not get into field-goal range before halftime as they carried a 21-14 lead into the break.
Allen鈥檚 first two quarters were scintillating, as he completed 14 of 19 attempts for 254 yards and rushed for two of the Bills鈥 three touchdowns.
THIRD QUARTER
Play selection: 20 plays (eight passes, 12 runs)
Allen: 5 for 8 passing, 74 yards, 1 touchdown; three carries for 25 yards.
Performance grade: 90%
Score: Bills, 35-21.
The Bills opened the third quarter with the football and used just four plays to score their fourth touchdown of the game. Cook ripped off a 41-yard touchdown run to extend the Bills鈥 lead 28-14.
Notably, this touchdown run came off of another tackle-pull blocking scheme, as Spencer Brown pulled from right to left and kicked out the edge defender. This again illustrated the marked change in run strategy by Brady, as Cook cut up inside of Brown and accelerated to the end zone.
The Bills鈥 defense held again and forced a Lions punt, which gave Allen and the offense an opportunity to go up by three scores. This Bills鈥 drive began on their own 10-yard line and ultimately faltered at midfield. The resulting Bills鈥 punt pinned the Lions inside of their own 3-yard line, flipping the field position. This left the Lions offense backed up and though the Bills didn鈥檛 score on their possession, their efforts, combined with a great punt by Sam Martin, resulted in the Lions having to drive 97 yards for a touchdown.
The value of flipping the field position was seen on this drive that the Bills鈥 defense created the one and only turnover of the game. Lions鈥 receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown was stripped by Christian Beneford and Taron Johnson made the recovery. There was a facemask penalty on the Lions, as well, on the turnover, and 15 yards was tacked onto the recovered fumble.
Allen began this drive on the Lions鈥 26-yard line and orchestrated a five-play touchdown drive. This touchdown pass from Allen was more like an underneath handoff that was set up perfectly by Brady.
5. Josh Allen's underhand TD pass to Khalil Shakir
Look at how many defenders this formation draws to Allen鈥檚 right side. Alec Anderson was in as a tight end along with Knox. There were six defenders from the center to Knox, who was the end man on the line of scrimmage because the Lions were concerned about Anderson and the running power this heavy formation potentially meant.
Brady used this overload to fake a toss to Cook, which created the illusion and urgency on that side. Then, Brady pulled right tackle Brown to the weak side to kick out the only defender left. This allowed the Bills鈥 offense to wash the defensive front to the right and use Brown to account for the final defender.
This counted as a pass because Allen shuffled the ball underneath to Shakir. This was another unique way in which Brady utilized this tackle-pulling scheme.
The touchdown, off the Lions鈥 turnover, gave the Bills a 21-point lead, 35-14.
The Lions, to their credit, did not give up, scoring a touchdown on a third-and-17 play. This made the score 35-21 Bills as the third quarter concluded.
FOURTH QUARTER
Play selection: 14 plays (six passes, eight runs)
Allen: 3 for 6 passing, 34 yards, touchdown; four carries for 28 yards.
Performance grade: 88%
Score: Bills, 48-42
On the opening drive of the fourth quarter, Allen nearly threw an interception rolling to his right and launching a deep pass into the middle of the field. This throw fell incomplete, and Bass, who had missed a 24-yard field goal earlier, had an opportunity to redeem himself with a 50-yard field goal. Bass made the kick, giving the Bills a three-score lead, 38-21.
The Lions answered with a touchdown to cut the Bills鈥 lead to just 10 points, 38-28.
At this point, Lions coach Dan Campbell declared an onside kick with 12 minutes remaining. This was unorthodox as he was trying to capitalize on their offensive momentum. However, Mack Hollins recovered the kick and returned it to the Lions鈥 5-yard line, nearly running it back for a touchdown. On the very next Buffalo play, Allen threw this touchdown pass, his second of the game.
6. Josh Allen's easy touchdown pass to Ray Davis
Here, Brady used Knox, Kincaid and Hollins to Allen鈥檚 right. The Lions played man-to-man coverage 鈥 but when Kincaid motioned, the player responsible for Kincaid panicked and had to adjust to take the next player to come into his area. Kincaid was the No. 2 receiver, and when he motioned, Turner, circled in yellow, then became responsible for Ray Davis.
Again, the Lions defenders were all next to one another, which caused Turner to get bumped and nearly tripped by his own player, thus allowing Davis a free-and-clear path to the end zone.
It was the formation and motion by Brady that set up this easy completion for Allen, his second touchdown of the game.
This one-play scoring drive was an answer to the Lions鈥 overzealous attempt to steal a possession with an onside kick. It backfired in a big way and elevated the Bills into a 45-28 lead. It also clinched the second consecutive 40-plus-point output.
The resilient Lions answered with another touchdown to make the score 45-35. Detroit kicked off, and Allen had another opportunity to possess the ball, running down the game clock and potentially scoring one more time.
The key play on this drive, which resulted in another Bass field goal, was this second-and-7 play from the Bills鈥 own 33-yard line.
7. Second-and-7: Josh Allen fake sweep
Again, Brady used the tackle-pull scheme 鈥 but this time he made it look like a run to Cook, then a quarterback sweep with Allen, ultimately becoming a run-pass option. This was a masterful play for second-and-7 at this point, as the Bills were trying to possess the football and run down the game clock.
As Allen rolled to his right, he made it look like he was taking off down the field by tucking the football under his arm. This triggered the defensive back, Brian Branch, to attack Allen, which was as he intended. Branch lost track of Knox, who initially blocked down on the play, delayed, then released to the corner.
This was the catalyst that gave the Bills another field goal, extending the Bills' lead to 13 points, 48-35, just before the 2-minute warning. Allen had a touchdown pass called back on the drive because of a holding penalty, but in the end, the offense drained 6 minutes off the clock.
The Lions scored their final touchdown of the game with 12 seconds remaining, closing the gap to 48-42. This left them at the mercy of another onside kick attempt. They had two timeouts remaining, and had they recovered the onside kick, the Lions would have had a chance to win with potentially two or three remaining plays. But Taron Johnson recovered the onside kick attempt as this shootout of a game concluded.
CONCLUSION
So many elements impacted this game, including Brady鈥檚 game plan, Allen鈥檚 execution, some defensive stops, Johnson鈥檚 fumble recovery, and the Bills鈥 special teams execution on the onside kick attempts.
Great football teams find ways to win, and the Bills, despite giving up 42 points, did enough to win an important game against a high-powered offense in the Detroit Lions.
The major difference for the Bills this week, compared to last week's loss at Los Angeles, was the running game. Allen accounted for 68 yards rushing himself 鈥 but when you subtract his rushes, the Bills still ran for 129 yards. This balance was impressive. It allowed Allen to not be the sole focus of the defense, making him far more dangerous.
Brady鈥檚 game plan included a dizzying array of schemes, formations, personnel groupings and timeliness that had him one or two steps ahead of the Lions for the entirety of the game.
The Bills racked up a total of 559 yards with four rushing and two passing touchdowns. The offense averaged 8.2 yards per play on 68 total plays, while winning the time of possession by more than 5 minutes 鈥 32:42 to 27:18 鈥 despite the fact that the Lions ran nine more plays.
On top of all of that, the Bills鈥 offense did not have a turnover.
This was the 10th game this season in which the Bills won the turnover differential. McDermott, Brady, Allen and the offense have protected the football as well as any team in the NFL, and the result is an astounding turnover differential of plus-18, the best in the league.
This is the most important statistic for the Bills this season, and one of the main ingredients in their recipe for success.
Allen himself has played the best football of his career. He has demonstrated an elite awareness and sensitivity to the Bills' formula for winning this season. No one else brings the speed, power, intelligence, size and accuracy like he does, all in one package.
OVERALL QB PERFORMANCE GRADE: 93%
Passing: 23 of 34 (68%), 362 yards, two TDs, no INTs聽聽
Rushing: 11 rushes, 68 yards,聽two TDs, no fumbles